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Mutual Fund Q&A: 
A Broad View on Utilities
Author: Ticker Magazine
123jump.com
Last Update: 12:57 PM EST January 31 2007


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Judith Saryan
  “Dividend growth is a core element of our investment philosophy.”
Eaton Vance Utilities Fund

Specialty or sector funds aren’t famous for the diversification they provide, but the Eaton Vance Utilities Fund has found a way to avoid concentration. With a very broad view on what the utility sector is, the manager Judith A. Saryan also invests in telecom and renewable energy companies when the macro environment is favorable. A significant international exposure further reduces the sector risk and provides a larger investable universe.

 
The regulatory regime in the U.K. has been quite favorable so the UK water companies have been doing well in the past few years. But in areas where the regulation is not very consistent, any company that spends heavily on improving the infrastructure cannot have a guarantee for the return. I believe that in the future more of this industry will be privatized. Most of the assets are still in the public hands but since the municipalities don’t have enough income to keep re-investing and improving the infrastructure, that is likely to change.

Q:  How does an idea turn into a holding?

A: We have a team of analysts who specialize in the utility and telecommunication areas. The analysts follow a rigorous assessment approach to come up with investment ideas that have above average total return prospects.

Our universe of potential candidates consists of approximately 175 names, including domestic and international, electric, telecom, natural gas, and water utilities. We estimate that approximately 85-100 of them have rising dividends. Currently, we own about 80 to 85 names in the fund. Every utility with a rising dividend is a potential candidate as long as it meets our investment criteria.

Q:  Could you give us a couple of examples of stock holdings that you identified through your research process?

A: A good example would be Pacific Gas & Electric, a Californian regulated utility. We were watching the company closely after it filed for bankruptcy. We met with one of the key regulators and recognized that the regulators were concerned about improving the financials of the Californian utilities. They understood the importance of the industry for the stability and the growth of the state.

As a result, we took a much closer look at the company and we determined the assets were worth much more than the market was indicating. We expected the adequate regulation to help its ability to generate free cash and to institute a dividend. We bought the company four years ago at about $12 to $15 per share; currently it is trading at $46 per share. That’s an example of a company that we continue to own as we generally like to buy and hold stocks.

An example of a company that we sold because of a change in the fundamentals would be British Energy, a U.K. nuclear generator. When the company came out of bankruptcy, our analyst went to England to meet with the management and to take a detailed look of the company. He was convinced that it had potential to operate its nuclear plants more efficiently than before. In the US the nuclear plants run at above 90% capacity utilization, up from 60% about 15 years ago, and we believe that the same trend could happen in the UK.

Our analysis of British Energy was based on expectation for only 5% to 7% improvement in the utilization factor. We bought the stock two years ago and we decided to sell it last year mainly because the company ran into problems operating some of its plants and had to shut them down. We bought it very early at approximately 250 to 300 pence per share, and we were able to sell most of it in the 600 to 640 pence range. It’s currently trading at 485. We were very strict in our sell discipline because this is a cyclical name with company issues.

Q:  Did you have the misfortune of getting close to Enron?

A: Enron is a good example because we did well with this stock. We bought a small position back in 2000. The more we analyzed the company, the less comfortable we were with the financials, so we decided to sell it. We got out of our position in the period January through March 2001, long before the real disaster.

But we recognized that the fundamentals were already deteriorating. The stock price had just begun to drop and the company was sending out conflicting messages. In the end, we actually made about $2 million in Enron.

Q:  Would you explain your portfolio construction process? Do you follow any benchmarks?

A: We use some top-down analysis of the industry, but we buy companies one by one strictly on a fundamental basis to make sure that we are buying quality companies. We use the top-down analysis to build a general view on whether it’s a favorable time to lean towards generators, distributors, or telecomm.

We try to have exposure in all of those areas, but the weightings vary depending on our macro view. Right now we have a slight overweight in the telecomm area because it has a more attractive outlook. As the stocks of the electric utilities have risen rapidly, we’re a little nervous about those stocks, so there is price sensitivity in our approach.

We don’t really use any specific benchmarks. The S&P Utility average isn’t a good benchmark for us because it only includes domestic electric utilities. Some of the company weightings in the index can be as large as 7% or 9%, while in our portfolio the weightings are less than 4%. We are reluctant to follow a benchmark that would send us away from our discipline and lead us to concentrated positions. Diversifying and keeping the individual weightings below 4% is one of the ways to mitigate risk.

Q:  How large is your international exposure?

A: Our international exposure varies depending on where we find opportunities. Right now it’s about 41% but it has been as low as 20% in the past. We stay within the markets of our expertise, which are US, Canada, Mexico, and Europe. We definitely look at central Europe because it’s moving rapidly into the EU and that’s a good place to find growth.

Q:  What is the rationale behind your sell decisions?

A: We trim stocks when they’re selling at significant premiums to the market and to other utilities, or when there’s a change of fundamentals. Another reason to sell would be if a stock drops by more than 10-15% from our purchase price and we decide that we’ve made a poor purchasing decision. We’d also sell a stock if we just find a better security.
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