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Market Update Analysis: 
Dell and Chipotle
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 6:18 PM EDT May 08 2006


Market averages did not trace a direction after rising sharply on Friday. News of two mega-deals drove trading sentiment. Wachovia agreed to buy Golden West Financial for $26 billion and Thermo Electron agreed to merge with Fisher Scientific for $10.6 billion. Dollar fell in Asian trading. The dollar fell to 111 Japanese yen. Singapore dollar and Korean won rose to eight-year high against dollar. Chinese yuan has lost value against other Asian currencies making its export even cheaper.

 
4:30PM Dell declines 6% and Chipotle rises 6.5% in after-hours trading.

-Dow closed up 6.8, Nasdaq closed up 2.41 and S&P closed down 1.1 points.
-Yield on 10-year bond closed at 5.12% and 30-year bond closed at 5.19%.
-Crude oil closed 42 cents lower to $69.77 per barrel.
-Gold fell $4.40 to close at $679.90 but copper rose 0.8 penny to close at $3.5015.

Market averages did not make a significant move after making strong gains on Friday. Monday trading was dominated by a two mega-deals. Wachovia Corp agreed to acquire Golden West for $26 billion. Thermo Electron and Fisher Scientific agreed to merge in $10.6 in all-stock deal. On Friday after the close Berkshire Hathaway reported a deal worth $4 billion to acquire Israel based and privately held Iscar Metalworking.

After-the-close Dell Computer (DELL: chart) lowered its earnings forecast to 33 cents from 36 cents to 38 cents per share. Quarterly revenue is expected to beat low end of the previous guidance of $14.2 billion to $14.6 billion. Dell is facing price competition from Hewlett Packard in the server and low cost PC business. Dell has encountered severe price competition in the entry level laptop business from HP, Sony and Toshiba. Dell closed 6.5% lower in the after-hours trading on the news.

Chipotle (CMG: chart) reported first quarter profit of 26 cents vs. 10 cents a year ago on a revenue jump of 40% to $187 million. The company was spun-off from McDonald’s in IPO priced at $22. The stock rose 4% in regular hours of trading to close at $59.27 and gained additional 6.5% in the after-hours trading to trade last at $63.

3:00PM Merger news drives Monday trading.
Golden West Financial Corp (GDW: chart) jumped 6.2% after agreeing to be acquired by Wachovia Corp for $26 billion. The acquisition offer is at 15% premium to the closing price on Friday. Entrecom (ETM: chart) shares gained 8.5% on earnings news of 19 cents from 34 cents a year ago. The radio operator board also approved to buyback $100 million worth of its common stock.

Midwest Air (MEH: chart) reported April revenue passenger miles grew to 352 million, up 40% and available seats miles increased 26% to 435 million. Midwest reported that load factor jumped 8.3% to 82.6% in April. Journal Register (JRC: chart) stock jumped 5% after company reported on after-the-market-close on Friday that its president and chief operating officer resigned.

12:30PM European markets closed mixed.
European markets closed mixed as declining oil prices helped markets in Germany and France but weighed on commodity-sensitive London FTSE 100. The German DAX 30 rose 0.25%, supported by 3.3% gain for Adidas-Salomon. The French CAC 40 reversed from a 4 ½-year high reached earlier in the session to close down 0.1%. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 fell 0.4% as gas company BG Group and oil giants BP and Royal Dutch Shell weighed. However, mining stocks provided some help with Xstrata rising 4.9%.

Crude oil prices fell below $69 a barrel on sufficient gasoline supplies and a letter from Iran’s leader to President Bush proposing new solutions to settle the tensions. Light sweet crude June delivery lost $1.49 to $68.70 a barrel. Gasoline fell 5 cents to $1.992, while heating oil lost 2 cents to $1.929. Natural gas futures dropped 17 cents to $6.61 per 1,000 cubic feet. London Brent declined $1.28 to $69.67. European gold declined after hitting new 25-year highs on weaker dollar and growth in the international money supply. In London the precious metal fell to $677 per troy ounce from $679.90. In Zurich gold closed at $675.90, down from $678.95. Silver closed at $13.90, up from $13.80. The U.S. dollar gained ground in European trading. The euro traded at $1.2711, down from $1.2735. The dollar bought 111.45, down from 112.43 yen. The British pound was quoted at $1.8585, down from $1.8592.


11:30AM Stocks traded in a lackluster fashion.
Over the course of morning session stock markets have turned volatile, reflecting investors’ cautiousness ahead of FOMC meeting on Wednesday, weaker dollar and falling oil prices. Multibillion merger deals were in the spotlight Monday morning. Golden West Financial Corp. (GDW: chart) shares rallied 7.5% after the company agreed to be acquired by Wachovia Corp. (WB: chart) for $26 billion. Fisher Scientific International Inc. (FSH: chart) stock surged 6% after the company agreed to be acquired by Thermo Electron Corp. (TMO: chart) for $10.6 billion, in a move to create a leading provider of laboratory products and scientific equipment. Apple Computer Inc. (AAPL: chart) shares gained after the company won a lawsuit filed by Apple Corps, which represents the Beatles' commercial interests. The decision enables the computer maker to continue to use an apple logo on the iTunes Music Store.

Crude oil prices slipped below $69 a barrel, contributing to significant strength among airlines and other transportation stocks, leading the Dow Jones Transportation Average to a new record high. The price decrease was partly due to news that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad sent U.S. President George W. Bush a letter suggesting new solutions to settle the differences between the countries. At the same time, energy stocks came under pressure, following the price decrease, with the oil service sector down 2.2%. Oil and natural gas stocks moved to the downside as well. Significant weakness was visible among gold stocks, reflecting a sharp fall in the price of the precious metal. Gold for June delivery was last traded down $6.30 at $678.00 an ounce. Some defense stocks showed weakness, with shares of United Industrial (UIC: chart) down 17% on lower-than-expected Q1 earnings.

10.30 AM Indian Sensex Hits Another High.
Sensex in India ended up 102.77 points higher, or at 12, 462.47. The turnover on BSE was $1.1 billion or Rs 4,732 crore, flat from previous session. Strong earnings results in Q4 March 2006 and the inflow of mutual funds kept the index on the rise for a second week in a row. The liquidity with mutual funds is stable on strong assembly from stocks based mutual funds in the recent months.

Reliance Industries led gainers and soared 6% to Rs 1,163.80. More than 2.8 million shares were exchanged. Investors were keen to buy the stock prior to the listing of Reliance Petroleum, its subsidiary which is likely to open at a price higher than Rs. 80. Local mortgage lender, HDFC surged almost 5% to Rs 1, 350, as the demand for housing finance is still high. ACC also advanced by 2.3% to Rs 1.011 and Gujarat Ambuja Cements gained 1.9% to Rs 120.

Automotive stocks gained as well. Hero Honda advanced 1.7% to Rs 873 on sales jump of 6.3%. Satyam Computer advanced 0.8% to Rs 782 and Infosys gained 0.4% to Rs 3,226. Tata Steel put up 0.5% to Rs 644.50, lifting its annual contract prices for hot rolled coils by Rs 1,000. There were few decliners, among which was Vijaya Bank, losing 3.7% to Rs 52.20 as the bank posted a quarterly loss.


R] 9:45AM Stocks opened weak on sliding dollar.
Stocks opened lower on Monday on cautiousness ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting on Wednesday, expected to give a clue on further interest rate increases. A weaker U.S. dollar also weighed, offsetting positive sentiment generated by two major mergers. Investors were upbeat about Wachovia's (WBM: chart) $25 billion takeover of Golden West Financial Corp. (GWC: chart), as well as a $10.6 billion offer from Thermo for Fisher Scientific International Inc.

In early trading, airline stocks showed significant strength, benefiting from a sharp decline in the price of crude oil. The Amex Airline Index rose 1.6%. ExpressJet (XJT: chart) moved notably higher on news that it will retain 69 aircraft being released from its capacity purchase agreement with Continental (CAL: chart). Health insurance stocks like Cigna (CI: chart) and WellPoint (WLP: chart) also posted strength, contributing to a 1% gain by the Morgan Stanley Healthcare Payor Index. Emmis Communications (EMMS: chart), diversified media company, jumped 23.4% after its Chairman and CEO offered to acquire the company for $567 million. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell below $69 a barrel, contributing to a significant weakness in the energy sector. Gold stocks also came under pressure in early trading, as the price of the precious metal came off recent highs. In the first hour of trading, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 20.01, or 0.17%.The Dow is at its highest levels in more than six years, just 125 points from its all-time high of 11,722.98, reached on Jan. 14, 2000. The Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 0.10, or 0.01%, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 1.59, or 0.07%. Bonds rose, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipping to 5.1% from 5.11% late Friday.


9:00 AM Stock futures indicated a flat market opening.
U.S. stock futures traded near the flat line, following Friday’s sharp advance. Two big merger deals are expected to be in the spotlight on Monday. Over the weekend, Wachovia (WB: chart), the No. 4 U.S. bank, revealed a deal to merge with Golden West Financial (GDW: chart), the No. 2 U.S. savings and loan, making a bid of roughly $26 billion in cash and stock. Wachovia agreed to pay 1.051 shares of its stock, valued at $62.42 based on Friday's closing prices, plus $18.65 in cash for each share of Golden West. The price represents a roughly 15% premium to Golden West's current market value. Golden West shares were up 7.3% on Inet. In another merger deal, Thermo Electron (TMO: chart) agreed to acquire Fisher Scientific (FSH: chart) for about $10.6 billion in stock. The deal would create a powerhouse in making scientific supplies and equipment for the life, laboratory and health sciences industries. The price represents a 7% premium over Fisher's closing price of $73.73 on Friday. Shares of Apple Computer Inc.(AAPL: chart) rose 1.6% before the opening bell on Monday after a judge in Britain ruled that the company's iTunes Music Store did not infringe on the trademark of the Beatles' Apple Corps.
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