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Market Update Analysis: 
Credit Worries Resurface in U.S., Coal Rises
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 5:00 PM EST January 25 2008


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U.S.stocks lost the early gains as investors faced the fallout of the drop in bond insunrace ratings. The decline in ratings could cause banks to lose nearly $150 billion in bond portfolio and may force them to seek new capital. Market worried that the current sub-prime crisis is far from over. In the morning stocks gained after Microsoft reported 80% rise in earnings. Honeywell reported 18% increase in earnings, Caterpillar and Lockheed earnings rose 11% and 10% respectively.

 
UK retailer, Kingfisher announced today on its Web site that the retailer has appointed Ian Cheshire as Group Chief Executive effective next Monday. Kingfisher’s Chairman Peter Jackson said Cheshire is better placed to spearhead changes to improve returns.

Cheshire however said there is need to ensure that the company’s cash and capital is deployed more productively, while tightening the control of costs.

Other leading retailers also declined. Next Plc shed 3.91%.

Leading Gainers and Losers

Of the FTSE 100 index stocks, Imperial Tobacco led gainers with a rise of 9.07% followed by gains of 7.21% in Vedanta Resources, of 5.74% in British Energy, of 3.92% in Rio Tinto Plc, and of 3.92% in Carphone Warehouse.

Imperial Tobacco rose on reports the company is planning to bid 910 million euros to fully takeover Spanish cigarette company Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista SA.

Persimmon led decliners in FTSE 100 index stocks with a drop of 6.88% followed by losses of 6% in Old Mutual Plc, of 5.94% in Alliance & Leicester, of 5.54% in Taylor Wimpey, and of 5.09% in Anglo American Plc.



2:00PM New York, 8:00PM Frankfurt – S&N board has agreed to a joint bid between Heineken and Carlsberg at 800p.

A joint bid by Denmark based Carlsberg and Holland based Heineken for Scottish & Newcastle plc was accepted at 800 pence (or $16 per share). The Edinburgh, UK based company has been in discussion with two beer giants for three months and discussion gained momentum after the unsolicited offer was made public.

The joint bid, revised three times values the beer company at 7.8 billion pounds ($15.6 billion) and values S&N operating earnings or EBITDA for the year 2006 at multiple of 14.3.

The Offer of 800 pence per S&N Share represents a premium of 50.7% to the closing price of 531 pence per S&N Share on 28 March 2007, being the date immediately before speculation first arose around a possible offer for S&N.

The offer is at a premium of 25.7% to the closing price of 637 pence per S&N Share on October 16, 2007, last trading day before the public announcement of the merger discussion.

The joint bid was revised three times for S&N which hurt the stock prices of bidders on the worries that the companies may overpay. The first two offers at 720 pence in October and 750 pence in November were rejected by S&N. The jointly controlled Russian BBH was the most sought after in the deal.

Following completion of the Offer, S&N’s share of Baltic Beverages Holdings, as well as the French, Greek, Chinese and Vietnamese operations will be transferred to Carlsberg.

Heineken will continue to hold the remaining businesses, in the UK and Ireland, Portuguese, Finnish, Belgian, US and Indian operations.

Following the merger Heineken will retain its number one position in the UK market and number 2 positions in Portugal, Ireland, Finland, and Belgium. Heineken estimated that the deal will save 120 million pounds by the fourth year annually with 70% resulting from cost savings and 30% from higher revenue.

Carlsberg hopes to benefit from its strong position in France and gain access to two of the fastest growing markets in the world, China and Russia. Carlsberg and S&N own equal stake in BBH, with presence in Russia, Ukraine and other Central European nations. Carlsberg in a presentation to analysts suggested that beer volume in the Eastern European markets is expected to rise annually by 30% in the next four years.

Baltic Beverages Holdings AB was sought after by Carlsberg to tap into the rising demand for beer in Russia. Russia has managed to transform its command control economy to consumer based economy on the rising exports of minerals, crude oil and gas. Russian consumers have developed a taste for Western quality products and retail sales of imported automobiles, to expensive clothes, to food and beverages are growing.

Carlsberg is holding leading market position in France but its market share has declined in a highly regulated market from 41% in 2001 to 36% in 2007. Carlsberg expects beer volume in Western Europe to decline annually by 1% in the next five years. Carlsberg has number two position in Greece with 10% market share and expects the market to grow in the longer term.
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